Demand for Reducers Will Release New Signals to More than One Million Industrial Layout

After experiencing long-term sharpening and development of the market, it has gradually evolved into a dominant force covering China's market, and the reducer has shown vitality that shocked the world. As the most core functional component of industrial robots, reducer accounts for about 33%-38% of the manufacturing cost of the whole robot. At present, the field of industrial robots is in the ascendant, the sales volume is rising steadily, and the potential demand for reducers is rising year by year.
In recent years, with the rapid development of domestic economy and the increase of export volume of heavy machinery industry, the reducer industry, as an important basic industry, has developed extremely rapidly. Due to the strength of the downstream market, reducer enterprises are expanding their production and marketing scale, and their processing capacity and technical level are continuously improving. In the future, the market prospect of reducer industry will be bright.
Data show that in 2015, the demand for reducers for industrial robots was 403,300 units, with a demand scale of 4.477 billion yuan. According to the growth of sales volume and ownership of industrial robots, it is estimated that by 2025, the demand for industrial robot reducers will reach 1.05 million units, with a demand scale of about 7.7 billion yuan.
As a key component of industrial robots with the highest technical barriers, reducers can be divided into five categories according to different structures: harmonic gear reducers, cycloidal pin wheel reducers, RV reducers, precision reducers and filter gear reducers. Among them, RV reducer and harmonic reducer are the most mainstream precision reducers for industrial robots. RV reducer has a tendency to gradually replace harmonic reducer in advanced robot transmission.
Looking around the world, the robot reducer market is monopolized by Japanese enterprises and other countries have limited strength. According to statistics, Sumitomo, Nabotsk and Hamonako of Japan account for more than 80% of the global market share and are in an absolute monopoly position.
At present, 75% of the world's precision reducer market is occupied by Japan's Hamonaco and Nabotsk, of which Nabotsk produces RV reducers, accounting for about 60% and Hamonaco produces harmonic reducers, accounting for about 15%. Japan's reducer technology has always been far ahead and has been the dominant position in the industry for many years. Even ABB, Fanaco, An Chuan, Kuka and other famous international "four families of industrial robots" have been using the reducers of Japan's Nabtesco and HarmonicDrive.
On the other hand, in China, although China's robot reducer manufacturers have increased their investment in recent years, they are still a long way from mass production. In the future, it may be necessary to rely on domestic robot enterprises to break the market monopoly of Japanese enterprises.
The robot industry is currently the most noticeable industry, and there is no need to say much about its development space. Precision reducer is the most critical functional component in industrial robots and a crucial application link in the robot industry chain.
According to the forecast of the national authoritative department, from 2015 to 2018, the new demand for reducers for industrial robots in China will reach 236,000 sets, 296,000 sets, 369,000 sets and 462,000 sets in turn. In addition, according to the general service life of 8-10 years for industrial robots held in the domestic market, the domestic market demand for precision reducers will exceed 1 million units in the future, and the annual market sales will exceed 10 billion yuan.
On the whole, the prospect of the robot reducer industry is promising and the potential demand is huge. To this end, domestic manufacturers are stepping up their layout efforts, including Qinchuan Machine Tool, Double Ring Transmission, Dazu Laser and other listed companies, to catch up on the road of localization of reducers.
Reducer, as an essential transmission equipment in modernization, is widely used in various fields of the national economy. For the robot industry, reducer is a crucial application link in the industrial chain. Thanks to the rise of the robot industry, the development of the robot reducer industry is expected to enter the fast lane. In the future, driven by industrial robots, China's robot reducer industry is expected to usher in rapid development and the market demand will continue to release. However, for domestic enterprises, there is still a long way to go for the development of localization. In the future, harmonic reducers can be appropriately tilted to overtake in corners.